Premier League Returns with Intense Race for Top-Five Champions League Places

With the title and relegation battles all but settled, the spotlight shifts to a fierce seven-team contest for Champions League qualification, with Chelsea facing a tough run-in.

Original Source
The Athletic
Written by
Craig 'Tosh' McKinnon
31 Mar
7:46
Analysis

The1905.Club Summary

As the Premier League season enters its final stretch, the focus is squarely on the fight for European places — particularly the top five, which should be enough for Champions League qualification next season due to UEFA coefficient rankings. With Liverpool, Arsenal, and Nottingham Forest leading the way, clubs like Manchester City, Newcastle, and Chelsea are battling for the remaining spots.

Data from Opta simulations suggests City and Newcastle are best placed to finish in the top five, while Chelsea may slip to sixth despite currently sitting fourth. Enzo Maresca’s side, though statistically solid in chance creation and limiting opponents, have been criticised for their slow, possession-heavy approach and underwhelming recent form. With difficult fixtures looming, including matches against Liverpool, Newcastle, and Manchester United, Chelsea's top-five hopes hang in the balance.

Key Points

  • The race for Champions League qualification is the most compelling storyline in the final weeks of the Premier League season.
  • Five English teams in European competition mean a top-five finish should be enough to qualify for next season’s Champions League.
  • Opta’s simulations predict Manchester City to finish 4th and Newcastle 5th, with Chelsea slipping to 6th.
  • Chelsea have taken just 1.4 points per game over their last 10 matches – the lowest among the top nine teams.
  • Enzo Maresca’s high-possession, less direct style has faced criticism for lacking attacking excitement.
  • Chelsea’s remaining fixtures include tough games against Liverpool, Newcastle, Manchester United, and Forest.
  • City have the easiest run-in, while Newcastle’s is also favourable despite a heavier fixture load.
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    Written by 
    Craig 'Tosh' McKinnon
    Co-founder of The1905Club. A life long Chelsea fan and season ticket holder for over twenty years. Now residing in Poland, this doesn't stop Tosh from watching every minute of every game.
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